The AUKUS pact, a strategic defense agreement between Australia, the United Kingdom, and the United States, has faced scrutiny and skepticism, particularly in Australia, since its inception. This article delves into the ongoing debate surrounding the pact, focusing on the challenges Australia faces in maintaining political commitment and public support. The author argues that Australia's reluctance to openly acknowledge the potential use of the Virginia-class submarines in a regional conflict against China is a significant issue. This hesitation, according to the author, stems from a desire to avoid upsetting China, which could have negative economic consequences. However, this approach weakens the pact's deterrent effect and raises doubts among the public. The Pentagon's review of AUKUS, led by Elbridge Colby, initially raised concerns about Australia's commitment and its potential to backtrack on the deal. These concerns were further exacerbated by the media frenzy surrounding the submarines, with debates over whether they would be new or second-hand. The author suggests that the Australian government's reluctance to openly discuss the strategic need for the submarines and their potential use in a regional conflict is a critical issue. This lack of transparency, according to the author, undermines the public's understanding of the pact's importance and could lead to political instability. The article highlights the need for Australia to establish a 'social license' for AUKUS, a concept that has been discussed by experts and former political figures. This involves more open communication about the pact's purpose and the strategic necessity of the submarines. The author argues that Australia's position as a victim of Chinese coercion for calling for an investigation into COVID-19's origins adds complexity to the situation. However, it also presents an opportunity for leadership and a chance to grow up, as suggested by the author. The article concludes by emphasizing the importance of transparency and strategic communication for Australia to maintain its commitment to AUKUS and address the skepticism within its own population.
